DSP TATHYA - July 2023
Consumer sentiment remains high, despite a slight moderation in personal loans. Non-oil imports falling is partly a price effect. Lower POL consumption comes on account of soft car sales.
Even though headline came in higher than the consensus, it was majorly driven by a surge in food inflation . Core remaining steady at 5 . 2 %, comes as a comfort .
The prevailing money supply has surpassed the peak recorded in July’20 of 13.2%. This development serves to reinforce the notion that the current monetary policy is notably less restrictive in nature. 10-year Gsec yields have remained stable, after easing from highs. A fall in risk premia is reflected in lower corporate bond yields.
Exhibit 3: The decrease in the CPI is evidently aligned with the decline observed in the WPI. However, the temporary surge in Food Inflation keeps the Headline Inflation from experiencing a more pronounced reduction.












